"The average gain in the S&P 500 during the 12 months following the six Congressional change of control elections since 1950 (including two Presidential election years) equals 11% with minimum and maximum returns of -4% and 33%, respectively (see Exhibit 6). Historically, the S&P 500 has generated positive 12-month returns following all 15 mid-term elections since 1949. Returns ranged from 3% to 33% with an average of 18%."(Source: Goldman)
There are a lot of reasons to be bearish and be bullish. Who is going to be right?
George Dagnino, PhD
Editor, The Peter Dag Portfolio. Since 1977
Ranked best market timer in the 12 and 6 months ending 8/20/10 by Timer Digest
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