9/9/10

A honest answer

From an article by Kenneth Rogoff. The honest answer – but one that few voters want to hear – is that there is no magic bullet. It took more than a decade to dig today’s hole, and climbing out of it will take a while, too. As Carmen Reinhart and I warned in our 2009 book on the 800-year history of financial crises (with the ironic title “This Time is Different”), slow, protracted recovery with sustained high unemployment is the norm in the aftermath of a deep financial crisis.

My point. In spite of all the stimulus plans touted by the Administration and all the campaign rhetoric, my sense is that the economy will have to heal slowly. We have to recognize that we cannot spend more than we make. The markets will force us to embrace the idea that an educated society is the best solution to our long-term concerns.

George Dagnino, PhD
Editor, The Peter Dag Portfolio. Since 1977
Ranked best market timer in the 12 and 6 months ending 8/20/10 by Timer Digest

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