Market seasonality

• The first half of the year is the most profitable one.
• The period June-September is likely to show little or no profit.
• The gains from September to December are not a sure thing, but the downside risk is minimal. In other words, it pays to be aggressive.
• The first few months of the year set the tone for the whole year. If the market is not in positive territory by May-June, the odds favor a losing year.
• The comparison of the current year to that of previous years provides useful information on the future risk/reward of the market.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

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