3/9/11

Technical patterns

I was looking at the chart of the S&P 500 and two patterns came very clear -- that of the market in November 2010 and that of the past few weeks. Then and now stocks were trading in a narrow range. The November pattern eventually developed in a strong up move.

What will happen to the current market indecision?

In November volatility spiked as stocks traded in a narrow range. Commodities soared after a brief correction. Volatility eventually declined as the market resumed its rise.

Does this mean that for the market to rise from current levels it takes a decline in volatility and a strong move in commodities (CRB)?

Time will tell, of course.

George Dagnino, PhD
Editor, The Peter Dag Portfolio. Since 1977
Ranked second best gold timer by Timer Digest

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