12/11/10

About yields


Yields have been soaring in the past week. What do I think? I always look at the business cycle to give me some perspective. There are reliable sequence of events repeating themselves quite regularly in each business cycle.

1. Yields rise
2. Stocks decline.
3. The economy slows down.
4. Yields decline.
5. Stocks rise.
6. The economy strengthens.
7  Go to 1.

George Dagnino, PhD
Editor, The Peter Dag Portfolio. Since 1977
Ranked best market timer in the 12 and 6 months ending 8/20/10 by Timer Digest

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