1/9/10

Quotes from smart investors

Mr. Chanos. China’s hyperstimulated economy is headed for a crash, rather than the sustained boom that most economists predict. Its surging real estate sector, buoyed by a flood of speculative capital, looks like “Dubai times 1,000 — or worse,” he frets. He even suspects that Beijing is cooking its books, faking, among other things, its eye-popping growth rates of more than 8 percent.

Bill Gross. "The output gap and the core inflation rate is probably heading downward for the next 12 to 24 months. If that’s the case and if unemployment stays close to 10 percent, then there’s no reason for the Fed to begin to raise interest rates."

Byron Wien. "Because it is significantly undervalued on a purchasing power parity basis, the dollar rallies against the yen and the euro. It exceeds 100 on the yen and the euro drops below $1.30 as the long slide of the greenback is interrupted. Longer term prospects remain uncertain."

Byron Wien. An advance in stocks in the first half will give way to losses as the S&P 500 drops as low as 1,000 before finishing 2010 where it began. As real economic growth climbs toward 5 percent, the Federal Reserve will start boosting interest rates in the second quarter, pushing its target for overnight loans between banks to 2 percent.

George Dagnino, PhD
Editor, The Peter Dag Portfolio. Since 1977
Ranked Top Market Timer in 2009 and 2010 by Timer Digest

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