11/13/09

Good news for earning growth

News. Economic consulting firm Moody's Economy.com has forecasted U.S. job growth by geographic region and by industry (click on the chart to enlarge it). This interactive was updated Nov. 3, 2009. We will update it each month.

This graphic shows actual job growth through third-quarter 2009 and Moody's Economy.com's forecasted job growth for fourth-quarter 2009 through third-quarter 2013. It covers every state, the District of Columbia and 384 metro areas, broken down by fourteen industry sectors. The data are seasonally adjusted. (Source: USA Today).

Comment. According to Moody's forecast the economy will expand until 2012. Another forecast presented by USA Today suggests instead the economy will slowdown in 2010. These forecasts indicate the odds favor the economy to grow quite strongly at least until 2010.

This is good news for earnings. Time will tell, of course.

To find out more about my in depth views of the markets and my strategy just visit our website https://www.peterdag.com/ where you can review The Peter Dag Portfolio. You can also call me at 1-800-833-2782 to discuss your specific money management needs.

I will be happy to speak to your investment group on how the business cycle impacts investment strategies and the choice of asset classes.

George Dagnino, PhD
Editor, since 1977
Ranked in the Top 10 for 12, 6, and 3 months for market timing by Timer Digest

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