10/2/13

Government spending and unemployment rate

Incredible relationship. Does this mean the unemployment rate declines when the government is not in our way and does not spend frivolously our money (click on the chart to enlarge it)? (Note: government spending as % of GDP is the blue line. The unemployment rate is the red line).

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

STRATEGIC INVESTING FOR UNCERTAIN TIMES.
Learn how to manage your portfolio risk and sleep comfortably. Improve the certainty of returns by taking advantage of business cycle trends. Learn to use simple hedging strategies to minimize the volatility of your portfolio and protect it from downside losses.
Receive your user id to access 4 FREE issues – and all the previous ones - of The Peter Dag Portfolio. Email your request to info@peterdag.com. New subscribers, please.

FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER @GEORGEDAGNINO FOR MY LATEST VIEWS.

2 comments:

Mark Caplan said...

Another interpretation is in recessions the denominator (GDP) goes down and spending for unemployment compensation, Medicaid, food stamps and other counter-cyclical safety-net programs goes up.

www.peterdag.com said...

Agree. George