11/17/15

Are we heading for a recession?

 

The above graph shows the growth of industrial output year-on-year.

Industrial output declined for the second straight month - flat in the past 12 months. Growth is slowing down quite rapidly (see graph).

This is the main reason commodities are weak - all of them from gold to oil to lumber to zinc - as I discuss in great detail in The Peter Dag Portfolio.

George Dagnino, PhD
Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio
Since 1977
Author, Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets

Disclaimer. The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Subscribe now and learn "EASY WAYS TO BEAT THE MARKET WITH ETFs". Several portfolios back-tested from 2000 are shown in the subscribers' area on our website (www.peterdag.com) when you subscribe. Total returns, annualized returns, maximum losses during the period, and number of transactions are shown for each portfolio. The rules are easy to follow and you will find them in the appendix of each issue of The Peter Dag Portfolio. These portfolios are provided as a service to our subscribers.

11/8/15

A very bearish indicator

 


The above graph shows an uncanny indicator. It has been very timely and reliable in signaling the beginning of bear markets.

A rise in this gauge above zero reflects bearish market conditions for equities. See, for instance, what happened in 2007.

I will discuss in detail this indicator and tell my readers what it is and how is computed in the next issue of The Peter Dag Portfolio.

You cannot afford to ignore its meaning and strategic implications.

George Dagnino, PhD
Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio
Since 1977
Author, Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets
Disclaimer. The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Subscribe now and learn "EASY WAYS TO BEAT THE MARKET WITH ETFs". Several portfolios back-tested from 2000 are shown in the subscribers' area on our website (www.peterdag.com) when you subscribe. Total returns, annualized returns, maximum losses during the period, and number of transactions are shown for each portfolio. The rules are easy to follow and you will find them in the appendix of each issue of The Peter Dag Portfolio. These portfolios are provided as a service to our subscribers.

11/1/15

Is the market too high?

 
No, according to this gauge. There is more room on the upside. But before you decide which way the market is going to go, make sure you check our proven indicators.

George Dagnino, PhD
Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio
Since 1977
Author, Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets

Disclaimer. The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Subscribe now and learn "EASY WAYS TO BEAT THE MARKET WITH ETFs". Several portfolios back-tested from 2000 are shown in the subscribers' area on our website (www.peterdag.com) when you subscribe. Total returns, annualized returns, maximum losses during the period, and number of transactions are shown for each portfolio. The rules are easy to follow and you will find them in the appendix of each issue of The Peter Dag Portfolio. These portfolios are provided as a service to our subscribers.