6/30/12

He is right ... as usual.

Europe is a Ponzi scheme. Central banks and governments give money to the banks so that the banks can buy the bonds of defaulting governemnts. Crazy!

But the markets are winning. They are forcing us to deleverage by reducing our incomes (becoming poorer), forcing business to cut prices because of slower demand (deflation), and reducing our entitlements becaue we cannot afford them. Because we are not productive enough to afford them. Because we are not creating enough wealth to afford them.

Enjoy this interview. Refreshing as usual.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/29/12

THIS IS AN IMPORTANT CONCEPT FOR TODAY'S TURBULENT TIMES.

PROFITING IN UP OR DOWN MARKETS

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

...and the show goes on.

Bloomberg -- After 13 1/2 hours of talks ending at 4:30 a.m. in Brussels today, chiefs of the 17 euro countries dropped the requirement that taxpayers get preferred creditor status on aid to Spain’s blighted banks. They also opened the way to recapitalizing lenders directly with bailout funds once Europe sets up a single banking supervisor. Stocks and bonds in Spain and Italy surged and the euro rallied.

The markets are forcing the hand of the politicians. This is not leadership. This is a farce!

George Dagnino, PhD, Editor
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/28/12

The markets

The decline of the commodity complex - including oil and gold - is worrisome. Very worrisome. It spells recession.

My subscribers also know I am concerned about deflation and its investment consequences.

George Dagnino, PhD, Editor
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Thinking

I try several investment strategies to find out which one is the most successful.

Thinking about them ... It looks like the one based on bonds is the most successful. The least successful is the one based on commodities.

In other words, the strategy that is working assumes the economy is in a recession or is growing very very slowly.

My indicators, as usual, will tell me what to do.

George Dagnino, PhD, Editor
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/23/12

Insider trading

The latest report from Barron's shows that the level of insider trading is bullish.

Are they going to be correct? What about all those bears out there?

George Dagnino, PhD, Editor
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

And now listen to this!

Gold

The sharp decline in gold is proving - one more time - that gold is a commodity and behaves like one.

Its trend is down like all other commodity indexes - including oil.

All these commodities are responding to deteriorating business conditions. Is the trend of commodities saying we are already in a recession?

George Dagnino, PhD, Editor
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Thought of the day

It is easy to be bearish these days. Everybody is. When I watch CNBC I become depressed.

Is this bullish? It would surprise all those people who state the obvious.

George Dagnino, PhD, Editor
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/21/12

The markets today

Commodities plunging. Gold sinking. Oil slumping. Inflation (consumer prices)declined. Inflation (producer prices) declined. Industrial production down. Philly Fed indicator craters. Productivity down in Q1.

It sounds like deflation and recession are here. The inflation and productivity trends are particularly worrisome.

Yet, what worries our leaders are student loans, same-sex marriage, and illegal immigration.

George Dagnino, PhD, Editor
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/20/12

Observations

George W. Bush’s fortunes are declining rapidly. Why? Because he does not appreciate the subtle meaning and power of diplomacy, which was so much valued by his father.

Martin Wolf is an exceptional thinker and columnist for the Financial Times. He is superbly well informed and has a keen sense of history and world affairs.

As a good friend of the US and its policies, he provides a different view – one with a European slant. Recently, he wrote a column that surprised me because he let down his cautious assessment of our policies to become aggressively critical.

He finds our foreign policy disturbing because the president fails to understand the basis of US power, mis-specifies US objectives, and is incompetent in executing its objectives. And then, he adds ….

On 9/11, a huge proportion of humanity viewed the US as a victim of an outrage. Now, however, the US can rely on the public’s sympathy of very few of its allies.

A civilized occupying army cannot coerce the obedience of a population.

A country containing 4% of the world’s population cannot impose its will upon the world.

The cold war was won not because the US had a bigger army, but because it offered a more attractive model.

The more the US plays the unilateral bully, the more its attraction fades. Proclaiming a war against terrorism justifies the indefinite suspension of the rules of law, and spawns new enemies.

If the US leaves behind in Iraq despotism or chaos, it will be a grievous defeat. [As in Afghanistan? Ed.]

The president is not up to the job of developing foreign policy. The world is too complex and dangerous for the pious simplicities and arrogant unilateralism of George W. Bush—a unilateral bully [who failed to make an alliance with his major friends. Ed.] Wow!

(This Observations appeared in the 6/7/04 issue of The Peter Dag Portfolio).

Latest from Europe

The Telegraph - Debt crisis: Spain and Italy to be bailed out in £600 billion deal. Two rescue funds are to be used to buy the debts of Spain and Italy's troubled economies, in a move that will send a strong signal to markets that Germany is finally prepared to back its weaker neighbours.

The domino effect. Slowly and steadily all Europe is being bailed out. And then there is Germany.

The good news is that the markets like all this money. For how long?

George Dagnino, PhD, Editor
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/19/12

Technical patterns

Stock market very strong.

Treasury bonds very weak.

Commodities very strong.

High-yield bonds very strong.

What will you do when the market turns down?

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/18/12

The business cycle

Commodities are declining. Yields are declining. Inflation is plunging.

This is what happens when the economy is weakening and business is cutting inventory growth.

The economy will continue to grow at 1%-2% pace because of our low productivity growth - as I discussed at nauseam in my The Peter Dag Portfolio.

In the latest issues I have been showing the sectors that are the most successsful in these dreadful economic times. Many stocks in these sectors keep doing spectacularly well.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/16/12

She is right on the money.

The Telegraph - "If you look at the development of unit labour costs between Germany and France, differences have now been growing a lot more strongly, a topic that must be discussed," Mrs Merkel said.

She is right. I have been writing about this since 2003. This is the main problem. Most European countries have low productivity growth and this raises their unit labor costs - making them uncompetitive relative to Germany.

This is the main reason Germany has a current account surplus and the countries in trouble have a current account balance in deficit. These countries owe money they had to borrow to compensate for their inefficiencies. This is also our predicament.

And now they are finding out the do not have any money to repay the creditors.

6/15/12

Business cycle indicators

Industrial production fell and consumer confidence slid, adding to evidence of U.S. economic weakness days before Federal Reserve policy makers meet to decide whether more stimulus is needed.

CPI and PPI down.

Are we in a recession/deflationary period? Maybe this is the reason for the strong bond market and weak commodities.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/14/12

Investment thoughts

#1. If you keep losing money using your investment process, you have to do the opposite of how you make investment decisions.

#2. Stocks that do well in a strong economy do poorly in a weak economy. And viceversa. More on www.peterdag.com.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Thought of the day

The Telegraph - Italy's borrowing costs leaped to their highest level since December in a government bond sale this morning, as concerns about Spain and the state of Europe's economy continued to hurt the country's finances.

The domino effect keeps going. Inexorably. Ireland. Then Greece. Then Portugal. The Cyprus. Then Spain. Now Italy.

I wrote in 2003, one year after the introduction of the euro, that the Union could not work.

Productivity differentials were to different for Italy or Spain to compete with the northern European countries.

The culture - believe me, I know - is too different. They could not and will not be able to assimilate the people of the southern countries with those of the north. Italy after more than 100 years cannot assimilate the north and the south of its own country.

Spain and Italy had a lot of fun borrowing at low rates. Like our home owners. There is a time, however, the markets ask if you have the money to repay the loans.

Gradually and steadily we are witnessing the dismemberment of a disastrous experiment. What is very sad is that the people are paying while inept politicians keep strolling around in black chauffeured limos.

6/13/12

The voice of sanity sounds like insanity. It tells you about the world we are living in.

Is Italy next?

Italian yields on 10-year government bonds jumped to 6% from 5% in March. Moving sharply higher.

Europe is a mess. They are trying to save everything except the people who are paying for the folly of inept bureaucrats.

6/12/12

You must read this article

Thomas Sowell is a very fine thinker. Very challenging. Always.

You must read his latest article. He makes an imprtant point, which explains the Administration game plan. Just click here.

Ooops!

The NYT - DETROIT — Lauded during a visit by President Obama, A123 Systems was supposed to be a centerpiece of his administration’s effort to use $2 billion in government subsidies to jump-start production of sophisticated electric batteries in the United States.

Instead, the company, which makes lithium-ion batteries for electric cars, has stumbled along with the rest of the nascent industry and now threatens to give more ammunition to critics of the president’s heavy spending on new energy technologies.

It is not over until the ......

(Reuters) - Raising the stakes in Europe's debt crisis, Austria's finance minister said Italy may need a financial rescue because of its high borrowing costs, drawing a furious rebuke on Tuesday from the Italian prime minister.

Maria Fekter's assessment of the euro zone's third largest economy amplified investors' fears that Europe is far from ending 2-1/2 years of turmoil.

(Der Spiegel) - The weekend announcement that Spanish banks would be bailed out briefly drove up markets around the world. But optimism was short lived. The euro crisis is rapidly intensifying and Europe is not prepared.

6/11/12

Thought of the day

When there is a crisis in Europe the priority is to protect the banks. What about the poor citizens who are struggling to survive?

6/10/12

Thought of the day

As I read the press, something strange emerges about the European situation.

We have a bunch of totally unproductive countries. Countries that cheated about their financial status in order to borrow at German interest rates. Countries totally unproductive with huge current account deficits.

Yet, Germany - the only country with some sense of fiscal discipline - is been painted as the "bad guy" because it resists giving money to countries that have proven to be real losers.

What's wrong with this picture?

Market mover events. Big changes in Europe?

Source: Reuters. "Euro zone finance ministers agreed on Saturday to lend Spain up to 100 billion euros ($125 billion) to shore up its teetering banks and Madrid said it would specify precisely how much it needs once independent audits report in just over a week."

Source: CNBC. "Mario Draghi, European Commission boss Jose-Manuel Barroso, the European Council chief Herman Van Rompuy and Eurogroup chair Jean-Claude Juncker are working on plans for a “genuine fiscal union.” The report cites four senior sources.

Under the plan, governments would only be able to spend money they have covered by revenue, and would need sign-off from a powerful group of finance ministers—led by a "European Finance Minister"—if they want to borrow. Only once they have this sign-off can new money be borrowed via the issuance of a Eurobond. "

6/9/12

An eloquent and well focused article. A must read to understand the Euro crisis.

Source: Simon Jenkins, The Guardian. The eurozone suffers from the same folly that, in the 14th century, saw the Black Death blamed on everything bar its cause.

The coming of the Black Death to 14th-century Europe meant the church needed someone to blame. Since God was exonerated ex officio, the obvious culprit was human sin, though some theologians favoured Mongol hordes, the waning power of Rome, not enough austerity and the alarming junction of Mars and Saturn in Aquarius. No one thought it was just a plague.

The same is true of today's Black Death: the euro crisis. Pundits attribute its woes to wicked debt, insufficient austerity and the need for more power to Brussels. Were Geoffrey de Meaux alive today he would also blame Venus's transit of the sun. As in the 14th century, these wiseacres assure us that redemption will come from giving more control to superior authority and from a more drastic austerity than any yet attempted. National self-flagellation is also much recommended.

As for the euro, like the black rat it gets off scot-free. It survives every debacle as that apogee of dogma, a "good idea in principle". A generation of European politicians have worshipped at its shrine and they are now too old to recant. To be "for" the euro was to be progressive, international, indulgent of the rich and munificent to the poor. It was a symbol of futurist sophistication, waved like a holy rood in the face of crabby, narrow-minded Eurosceptics.

I remember attending an EU conference in Luxembourg in the early 1990s and questioning the aptness of a common currency to a continent of widely diverging economies. A look of horror crossed every face, as if I had questioned the virgin birth and resurrection in one. Could I not understand that a single currency would "level up" the whole European economy to match German efficiency? It would force the weak to become competitive. It was the cement that would bind a European superstate.

Those whom history proves right are warned never to cheer. It is always "too soon to tell". But when I think back to the smugness of those well-fed, unaccountable, untaxed Eurocrats, I am not surprised at their aloofness in still wanting to inflict their dogma on hapless Greece and Spain. How else could the untaxed Christine Lagarde, now head of the IMF, stand up and accuse Greeks of not paying taxes?

A currency fashioned to enrich German exporters and ensnare Mediterranean nations in German credit was never going to work. Single currency zones are fragile, short-lived constructs. Their supranational governors must enforce equalisation of labour costs, or tax and cross-subsidise on a massive scale. It is a short route to Angela Merkel's fatal concept of German commissars in Athens ministries.

From the moment the euro entered circulation in 2002, the eurozone's collapse was only a matter of time. Yet its authors still deny its faults, intoning the need for more austerity and more indebtedness through new eurobonds. At its core remains the heaving ghost of an undervalued deutschmark. The German financial-industrial complex is as dependent on the euro as the US military-industrial is on war.

Humankind, said TS Eliot, cannot stand too much reality. An intriguing debate on the euro took place last week on the BBC's Newsnight, between two American economists, Paul Krugman in London and Ken Rogoff in Harvard. Once the BBC's in-house pundits had departed screeching "inconceivable … catastrophe … disaster", the two men got down to business.

Both conceded that the euro had not worked in practice and that the scale of European debt was unmanageable. It had to be written off or down, or eroded by inflation. Demand had to be stimulated if growth was to return. Then Rogoff headed for the hills. He demanded a fiscally "united states of Europe" to force competitiveness on weaker states. This is the current American answer to every world problem – "if only" everywhere were more like America. For Rogoff, a Napoleonic statism was the only answer to Europe's woes.

Krugman asked what was the point of advocating something that was simply not going to happen. Even if the Greeks next week vote for a pro-bailout government and the Germans tolerate a Spanish rescue, this would not save the situation. The Mediterranean economies were wholly uncompetitive. Spanish wage rates would have to halve. No amount of annual bailouts would save millions from economic strangulation.

Krugman's answer was to accept what has, until recently, been called "unthinkable" – the departure of Greece and perhaps Spain from the euro. They should revert to their pre-2002 status, free to devalue and adjust their prices to reality, as does Britain. They should inflate their way back to growth. Since the same might sooner or later apply to Italy, Portugal and Ireland, a reconfiguration of the euro must be contemplated, warts and all. Code for this is that it be "orderly", which is like a man adjusting his dress before execution. Krugman won the day for realism.

There is no point in pundits moaning about Europe's interdependence, its open borders, its migrants, its grants and its cross-subsidies. They were handled before the euro came into existence 10 years ago. Nor should the euro be blamed for indebtedness as such, though its supposed security made debt more available and its insecurity now makes debt awesomely expensive. The reality is that a quarter of the Greek and Spanish labour forces are unemployed, with other states possibly to follow. The euro stands four square across the path to devaluation and recovery.

This is a dreadful price for any country to pay for the ambitions and dogmas of a generation of European leaders so detached from accountability that no national referendum on the euro would pass. Nor is it a price that another bailout will do more than postpone. There will be no end to these annual fiascos unless debts can be devalued and national economies brought into stable equilibrium. Do ministers really want these weekly summits to go on forever?

To enslave the peoples of southern Europe in perpetual poverty for 10 years of sin and slothfulness under the euro is not just cruel, it is an economic sanction more savage than anything visited on Iran, Syria or Zimbabwe. It is now hurting us all. As the historian of folly, Barbara Tuchman, once said, even intelligent people seem incapable of learning from the errors of the past. The euro was a ghastly mistake, yet no one in power has the guts to say so – let alone make amends.

6/8/12

Technical patterns

This morning ....

- Weak S&P 500 (futures).

- Strong Treasuries.

- Weak commodities.

It looks like Treasuries are a good hedge if you believe the market is going to weaken.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/6/12

Observations

Unemployed people from southern Italy do not travel a few hundred miles to the North where there is abundance of jobs. Same language, but different ways of thinking. McDonald’s sells ice cream, beer, and wine to a demanding Italian customer. Culture and its impact on a country.

The Financial Times showed a picture a few days ago. It revealed a group of ecstatically crying mature men in white robes. Their heads were full of blood. They were holding a long pointed knife, stained with blood, in their hands. The caption read: “ Shia worshippers … hold their knives after cutting themselves [on their forehead] to celebrate the martyrdom of prophet Hussein.”

Again, culture. Are these people able to understand, or care about, our sense of democracy? Are we communicating with them? Do we understand them? What happened to the role of diplomacy? One of my first reactions to 9/11 was to ask the same question. What happened to our diplomatic efforts?

The Arabs are deeply religious people, proud, free thinking, and individualistic, with a strong nomadic background. It is no coincidence, I believe, that all the countries in the region are ruled by dictators. We should recognize and accept their long history. Not change it!

Tito’s Yugoslavia collapsed and transformed itself into many small states, each with its own religious and ethnic identity. Lenin’s USSR collapsed and the outcome was the creation of several independent states.

North Iraq is peaceful because the Kurds are left alone. Apply the same concept to the rest of the country. Divide Iraq in small areas or regions with the same ethnic and religious background. Federalism in action. Democracy implies freedom of thinking within a precise cultural perimeter. We have freedom because we believe in the same ideals --

Anglo-Saxon ideals. But the Arabs do not. They have a different set of beliefs. They have a different concept of democracy. Certainly not an Anglo-Saxon type of democracy imposed by an external power. Their culture is different from ours.

Is it time to think differently, Mr. President? (This Observations appeared in the 5-24-2004 issue of The Peter Dag Portfolio).

6/3/12

PROFITING IN UP OR DOWN MARKETS

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

The election

Source: The Economist: ......, the election will revolve not around fairness, but competence. Mr Romney is fond of saying that Mr Obama has no idea how the economy works and how jobs are created. The way the Obama campaign talks about Bain Capital suggests that his criticism is correct. Mr Obama likes to insinuate that there is a conflict between pursuing profits and creating jobs. In the long run, however, in a competitive economy, that is nonsense. Only profitable firms can sustain any jobs, and the more profitable they are, the more money they have to invest in new ventures with new workers. Mr Obama is guilty not of rhetorical excess but of economic muddle. That is far more worrying.

BUY BONDS FOR CAPITAL APPRECIATION

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/2/12

Yes, I was wrong

The previous post was written early Friday morning when gold and all commodities were sinking.

Eventually gold and the gold miners turned around and soared while the stock market lost 2.5% of its value. GDX (gold miners) finished up 2.5% and GLD jumped 3.9%.

TLT (long-term Treasury bond ETF) was also strong, up 2.4%.

Incidentally --- Treasuries and gold miners (gold was not allowed to trade back then) were the only asset classes moving higher in 1929.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

6/1/12

Thought of the day

Gold keeps heading lower like all other commodities.

I always believed gold is a commodity and should be traded like one. But I have been wrong before.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Seasonality

Sell in May and buy TLT?

See also my video on Seasonality in this blog and in our web site www.peterdag.com.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

From Mario Draghi.

Mario Draghi said the central bank could not "fill the vacuum" left by member states' lack of action as it was claimed the zone is on the point of "disintegration".

I wrote about the problems of Europe and why it would not work in an Observations penned in 2003 and shown in this blog.

George Dagnino, PhD Editor,
The Peter Dag Portfolio.
Since 1977
2009 Market Timer of the Year by Timer Digest
Portfolio manager

Disclaimer.The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.